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A more active weather pattern is emerging this week. A cold front is slowly moving through the area tonight with some early showers. As the surface low continues to lift northeast, the cold front will continue to be pulled east today until it runs parallel to the upper current over our coastal waters overnight tonight. Models suggest the general nature of all precipitation today is likely to be isolated showers rising not much higher than about 10,000 feet. There is at least some potential for a few T-Storms into the early evening.
However, the front pulls through a stall tactic late in the evening. Several pulses will move above this line and keep the rain potential in the region, with the first round coming Tuesday morning and afternoon. Some thunderstorms are also possible in this area. Strongest momentum comes late Tuesday evening through early Wednesday morning, with the risk of some stronger storms then, so will need to be watched then. The area could see accumulations of 1 to 3 inches throughout the week. We’ll be taking another short break between systems on a mostly dry Thursday.
A more violent cold front will sweep through the area Friday night, clearing the atmosphere and bringing a cold snap to the Mississippi Gulf Coast. Expect a temperature drop of more than 20 degrees from previous days. The highs will struggle to reach the mid 50’s and the lows will fall to the freezing mark for at least the northern half of the region. We have passed (or will be by this weekend) the mean (average) last frost date in most locations, so it cannot be ruled out that frost warnings could be required in some parts of our area this weekend.
