60% chance of 2 inches of rain by Tuesday

SAN ANGELO — A series of cold fronts and atmospheric disturbances will interact across west-central Texas earlier this week, bringing a good chance of significant rainfall beginning Monday afternoon.

Showers and thunderstorms have already been developing from the Big Bend area to Ft, according to forecasters from the National Weather Service‘s San Angelo office. Stockton and will move east into the Concho Valley on Monday afternoon. These storms can produce 0.5 to 0.75 inches of rain today.

Another cold front will invade Texas Tuesday, bringing chances of rain to eastern Concho Valley counties. A trough will develop in the west on Wednesday and current models show it can produce 0.5 to 2 inches of rain, but that’s on the high end of what will actually occur.

Each of these storms can briefly develop into a severe thunderstorm, with the main threat being large hail.

On Monday afternoon the chance of rain is 60%, Monday evening 50%, Tuesday 30%, then Tuesday evening and Wednesday 50%.

This storm system is unable to produce the type of rain and runoff needed to affect the ongoing drought. Historically, during times of extreme drought, the Concho Valley has had a better-than-average chance of raining on Memorial Day weekend, Independence Day weekend, and then again on Labor Day weekend.

This is an evolving weather situation.