Charles’ Accurate Weather Forecast – Sunday 23rd January

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WCTV) — Temperatures took a nosedive Saturday night as cloud cover cleared most of the area. Some of the eastern Big Bend counties were still struggling to clear overnight, which kept morning temperatures in Perry warmer than places to the west and north. Plenty of sunshine is forecast for the remainder of the day with highs in the mid 50s to near 60 – much warmer than Saturday’s highs.

Another round of freezing temperatures will return into Monday morning Sunday night. The lows remain nearly identical to Sunday morning’s lows (high 20s to low 30s) except for the eastern Big Bend where cloud cover limited any overnight coolness. Monday’s highs will rise to near 60, with more cloud moving in from the west in the afternoon.

A surface low is forecast to develop in the western Gulf of Mexico by Monday and move east by Tuesday and Wednesday. Although the center of the low will remain south of Big Bend, there is expected to be an increase in the chance of rain beginning Monday evening and into Tuesday. Rain will likely be out of sight by evening and conditions will improve again Tuesday night and early Wednesday. Tuesday’s lows will be in the 40s with highs in the 50s under near cloudy skies.

Weather remains calm Wednesday and Thursday with highs in the 60s and morning lows in the upper 30s – not as cold as the past few days.

Guidance models continue to ramble on the weather setup for Friday and Saturday. While the European model showed greater consistency from run to run late Friday and Saturday along or east of Florida’s Atlantic coast, this would keep the observation area dry. Meanwhile, the American GFS has developed a low in the Gulf that would bring rain to the area but would remove and then bring it back in a subsequent model run. This weather forecaster will continue to leave rain probabilities in the lower range for Friday and Saturday. Trends in guidance runs will be monitored by the Pinpoint Weather team over the next few days to give some confidence in next weekend’s forecast.

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