James Spann: Rain Returns to Alabama Wednesday Night; much colder Thursday, Friday


HEAVY CLEAR: Not a cloud in the sky over Alabama this afternoon; The temperatures are mostly between 66 and 72 degrees. Tonight it will be clear and very cool, with a low between 41 and 46 degrees.

RAIN RETURN: After a mostly sunny start, clouds will increase over Alabama on Wednesday afternoon and the rain will return to the state late Wednesday night through Thursday. the Storm forecast center continued low risk (level 2 of 5) severe thunderstorms over southwest Alabama, including Mobile and Baldwin counties and parts of Washington and Escambia counties. A marginal risk (level 1 of 5) extends north to Butler, Sweetwater, Greenville, and Dothan.

A couple of storms late Wednesday night and early Thursday could create high winds and a brief tornado or two over southwest Alabama. No storms are expected over the rest of the country thanks to stable air masses.

Light periods of rain are likely on Thursday and Friday over the northern half of Alabama with cloudy skies and temperatures getting colder. We’ll be hovering in the low 60s for most of the day on Thursday, and on Friday temperatures will be in the 51 to 56 degrees range all day, which is nearly 20 degrees below the Alabama average for late October. Friday will feel more like winter; it will be raw and moist.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: While southern Alabama will enjoy mostly sunny skies, clouds linger over northern Alabama with some light rain, especially in areas north of Birmingham. Saturday high will be near 60 over northern Alabama and in the upper 60’s over the southern counties of the state. On Sunday we expect sunny skies across the country with a maximum temperature of around 70 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: The week is going to be cool, with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. Light rain is possible on late Tuesday evening or early Wednesday with a cold front, and new global model data suggests that rain is possible on Friday, November 5th.

TROPICAL: A deep northeast lies off the upper Atlantic coast of the US This is a cold core system that will move away from the coast in the next few days. There is a certain chance that it will pick up some subtropical features but not become a classic tropical storm. The rest of the Atlantic basin is very calm.

ON THAT DATE, 1952: Since the mid-1940s, there have been thousands of weather reconnaissance and research flights on hurricanes in the Atlantic and Pacific. There were several close calls, but only four flights were lost. A B-29 Super Fortress flight in Super Typhoon Wilma 350 miles east of Leyte in the Philippines disappeared that day. No trace of the aircraft or the crew was ever found. In the last report, the flight was in the strongest winds of super typhoon, about 160 miles per hour.

ON THIS DATE 1998: Hurricane Mitch, the second deadliest hurricane in the Atlantic, was Category 5.

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