The rain fades as we feel the cool effects of the latest frontal passage


Thursday weather 11-4-21

VICTORIA, Texas-: today: Mostly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures remain below average. High: 59 degrees. Wind: N 15 / G20 mph. A 70% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday night: Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures remain below average. Low: 49 degrees. Wind: N 5-10 mph. A 10% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.

Friday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures remain below average. High: 69 degrees. Wind: NO 10 mph. A 10% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.

Friday night: Mostly clear skies with light winds while temperatures remain below average. Low: 48 degrees. Wind: NE 5 mph. A 10% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.

Extended forecast: Saturday by Thursday:

Saturday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures remain below average. High: 72/49 degrees. Wind: NE 5-10 miles per hour. A 10% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.

Sunday: Sunny skies with light winds while temperatures remain average. High: 76/55 degrees. Wind: SE 5 mph. A 10% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.

Monday: Partly cloudy with light winds while temperatures remain average. High: 79/60 degrees. Wind: SE 10 mph. A 10% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday: Partly sunny skies with light winds while temperatures remain average. High: 81/63 degrees. Wind: SE 10 mph. A 10% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy skies with stormy winds while temperatures remain average. High: 81/62 degrees. Wind: SE 10 mph. 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday: Partly cloudy skies with light winds while temperatures remain average. High: 80/56 degrees. Wind: NO 10 mph. A 20% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms.

Summary: A trough extending south from the Great Lakes into the Southern Plains is helping to pull a cold front south through Texas on Thursday morning. The meeting of the solar energy with the gulf moisture (1.5 ″) and the front will be a recipe for showers and thunderstorms until Thursday.

The showers were more numerous in the night on Wednesday, but should run out rainier, lighter or even until Thursday morning, as the high pressure is approaching from the north. The front, which was near San Antonio on Wednesday (yesterday) around 4:00 p.m., moved into the intersection at 9:00 p.m. (Wednesday night) last night, but then moved out to sea around midnight last night out. The rain totals were about 1/4 “last night and we were able to see another 1/10” of rain until Thursday morning. The junction is exposed to a marginal risk of excessive rain, and the damming of water is mainly caused by low beds and or. possible bad drainage areas. The front moves so fast that there should be no large-scale (lightning) flooding.

Drier air will penetrate behind the front as the rain probability for the passage of the cold front (drying until Thursday afternoon for inland locations) and the moisture content drops Thursday night (less than 1 ″).

The wind also turned from the north on Wednesday night and brought down the cold air from the north with gusts of wind of 30 km / h. Temperatures dropped to the 50s at night, while Thursday (today) highs will struggle to reach 60 degrees. Constant cloud cover should keep the low temperatures overnight Thursday evening from not falling too much above 50 degrees.

Long term for the extended period, days 3 through 7, Friday through Wednesday, the airflow from the northeast (east) will continue on Friday, pushing water into the coast (potential flooding) around the high tide.

Wind and airflow will return (weaken) from the Gulf (south) by Friday night / Saturday morning. On Saturday, high pressure will move in from the southwest, so that the drought can continue towards the front.

Late Tuesday / Wednesday, some storms move around the northern part of the ridge to bring rain to the area (20 percent chance with decreased humidity levels). Rain chances with a splash or two are possible Wednesday through Thursday via the Coastal Bend / Victoria Crossroads.

Tropics: Tropical Storm Wanda (50 mph winds north at 10 mph) is moving north on Thursday and should weaken as Wanda penetrates cooler water. The storm appears to be moving northeast towards England but should fizzle out before it gets close to land.

About Mike Crayton

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